The seal population declined in the first part
of the century and since then cod has been the only major fish
predator in the system. Predation by sea birds and also salmon
have been assessed to have only limited influence on the utilized
fish stocks. Cod in the Baltic mainly feed on clupeid and invertebrates.
Other fish species including the cod itself constitute other but
minor parts of the cod diet.
Predation mainly affects herring below 20 cm.
Larger herring i.e. age groups 2 and 3 are also preyed upon but
to a lesser extent. Because of its smaller size all age groups
of sprat are equally preyed upon. Cannibalism by cod on cod mainly
affect age group 0 and 1 as prey, while the effect on older age
groups is negligible. Biomass losses due to predation by cod vary
with cod abundance.
Thus, the impact of a relatively small cod
stock on the overall biomass of herring and sprat has been limited
since the middle of the 1980s (i.e. less than the assumed mortality
from other natural causes). However, an increasing cod stock has
the capability of reducing the sprat stock to considerably lower
levels. For example, the yearly consumption in the beginning of
the 1980s was estimated by the Baltic Multi Species Model (MSVPA)
to 33-86% of the standing stock.
A reduction of the sprat stock, independently
of whether it is caused by high predation or recruitment failure,
will probably result in an increased predation pressure on young
herring or perhaps also on cod. Even if the biomass consumed is
not substantial, this predation on juveniles in terms of numbers
will be extensive.
Cannibalism has been suggested as a strong
self regulatory mechanism in the eastern Baltic cod and to a lesser
degree in the western Baltic cod. In addition to cannibalism,
predation on early life stages of cod by clupeoids has been identified
as a process influencing the recruitment success of cod.
The increase of the seals populations are also
leading to increased predation on mainly salmon, sea trout, herring
and whitefish. This creates problems for coastal fishery communities
because seals empty and destroy gears.
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